Private Equity’s Growth Reshapes the US Investment Landscape

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Morgan Stanley’s Michael J. Mauboussin and Dan Callahan examine the long-term shift of institutional capital from US public equities toward buyout and venture capital markets.

  • US-listed companies have roughly halved since the mid-1990s, although public-market capitalization remains vastly larger than private equity.
  • Private equity has delivered attractive long-term averages, but returns vary widely by manager and involve higher illiquidity, fees and valuation uncertainty.
  • Higher rates and valuations mean future buyout returns may depend increasingly on operational growth rather than leverage and multiple expansion.

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